O cenário político brasileiro para as eleições de 2026 começou a se desenhar com um anúncio de peso nesta sexta-feira: o senador Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) confirmou sua candidatura à Presidência da República. A decisão, que o posiciona como o principal herdeiro político de seu pai, o ex-presidente Jair Bolsonaro, foi divulgada pelo próprio senador em suas redes sociais e chancelada pelo Partido Liberal (PL).
Jair Bolsonaro, que se encontra preso na Superintendência da Polícia Federal em Brasília desde 25 de novembro, após condenação por tentativa de golpe de Estado e inelegibilidade decretada pelo Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), escolheu o filho mais velho para dar continuidade ao seu projeto político. “É com grande responsabilidade que confirmo a decisão da maior liderança política e moral do Brasil, Jair Messias Bolsonaro, de me conferir a missão de dar continuidade ao nosso projeto de nação”, escreveu Flávio Bolsonaro no X (antigo Twitter).
A confirmação veio acompanhada de uma nota do presidente nacional do PL, Valdemar Costa Neto, que endossou a escolha: “Flávio me disse que o nosso capitão ratificou sua candidatura. Bolsonaro falou, está falado. Estamos juntos”, declarou Costa Neto, reforçando a unidade partidária em torno do nome de Flávio.
Contexto e Repercussões
O anúncio ocorre em um momento de intensa movimentação nos bastidores da política, com a direita buscando se reorganizar após a saída de Jair Bolsonaro do cenário eleitoral. Flávio Bolsonaro tem atuado como porta-voz do pai durante seu período de prisão, intensificando sua presença em articulações políticas e conversas com aliados, incluindo governadores como Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos-SP) e Cláudio Castro (PL-RJ).
Em seu discurso de lançamento, o senador adotou uma retórica que mescla elementos religiosos e críticas contundentes ao atual governo. Ele descreveu o Brasil como vivendo “dias difíceis”, mencionando aposentados “roubados”, “narco-terroristas” dominando cidades, estatais “saqueadas” e a criação de novos impostos. Flávio Bolsonaro afirmou que não ficará de braços cruzados e que se coloca “diante de Deus e diante do Brasil para cumprir essa missão”, prometendo que Deus “irá à frente, abrindo portas, derrubando muralhas e guiando cada passo dessa jornada”.
Reações Divergentes
A notícia gerou reações mistas. Entre os apoiadores mais fiéis do ex-presidente, a candidatura de Flávio foi vista como uma forma de manter viva a chama do bolsonarismo e preservar a identidade do movimento. Influenciadores e analistas de direita celebraram a decisão como um passo importante para a continuidade do projeto.
No entanto, a escolha também expôs fissuras e tensões. Setores do Centrão e da centro-direita, que vinham apostando em nomes como o do governador Tarcísio de Freitas, expressaram insatisfação. Fontes ouvidas pela imprensa indicam que partidos como União Brasil, PP, Republicanos e PSD podem optar pela neutralidade, temendo que a candidatura de Flávio fragmente o campo e dificulte a construção de uma frente ampla contra o atual governo. O mercado financeiro também reagiu com cautela, com o dólar em alta e a bolsa em queda após o anúncio, refletindo a incerteza sobre as futuras alianças políticas.
Internamente, na família Bolsonaro, o anúncio veio após recentes desentendimentos públicos entre Michelle Bolsonaro e os filhos do ex-presidente sobre articulações políticas regionais. Embora Michelle tenha desejado “sabedoria, força e graça” a Flávio em suas redes sociais, a forma como a decisão foi comunicada levantou questionamentos sobre o grau de consulta à ex-primeira-dama.
Desafios para 2026
Pesquisas de opinião realizadas antes do anúncio oficial já indicavam que Flávio Bolsonaro, embora com visibilidade, ainda enfrenta desafios para se tornar competitivo em nível nacional. Em um cenário eleitoral projetado pela AtlasIntel, ele aparecia em segundo lugar, atrás do presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), com maior apoio entre jovens e evangélicos, mas com desvantagem em outras categorias demográficas.
A candidatura de Flávio Bolsonaro promete ser um dos eixos centrais da disputa de 2026. Sua capacidade de unificar a direita, construir novas alianças e expandir sua base eleitoral para além do eleitorado bolsonarista será crucial para determinar o futuro do projeto político da família e do PL.
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